Script 23: AdGroup CPA Outlier
Purpose
Tag AdGroup if CPA performance is abnormally high within Campaign 30-lookback excluding recent 3 days
To Elaborate
The Python script aims to identify AdGroups within a Campaign that have a high Cost per Conversion (CPA) compared to the average CPA of the Campaign. It does this by analyzing the performance data of AdGroups over a 30-day period, excluding the most recent 3 days. If an AdGroup’s CPA is significantly higher than the average CPA of the Campaign, it is flagged as an outlier.
Walking Through the Code
- The script starts by defining column constants and the client timezone.
- It then sets up the SBA (Structured Budget Allocation) and initializes the output dataframe.
- Next, the script defines configurable parameters such as the IQR threshold and the lookback days.
- The input data is prepared by filtering it based on the specified lookback days and conversion lag days.
- The script reduces the input data to only the necessary columns.
- The script groups the reduced data by account, campaign, and ad group, and calculates the sum of specific columns.
- Rows without cost or conversions are removed from the grouped data.
- The grouped data is indexed by campaign and additional performance metrics are calculated.
- The script defines functions to find anomalies using different methods, such as the IQR method.
- The script applies the IQR method to find CPA anomalies within each campaign.
- If anomalies are found, they are printed along with relevant information.
- The script prepares the output dataframe by adding the anomalies to it.
- Finally, the output dataframe is printed.
Vitals
- Script ID : 23
- Client ID / Customer ID: 309909744 / 14196
- Action Type: Bulk Upload (Preview)
- Item Changed: AdGroup
- Output Columns: Account, Campaign, Group, AUTOMATION - Outlier
- Linked Datasource: M1 Report
- Reference Datasource: None
- Owner: Michael Huang (mhuang@marinsoftware.com)
- Created by Michael Huang on 2023-03-14 08:14
- Last Updated by Michael Huang on 2024-05-14 21:52
> See it in Action
Python Code
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#
# Tag AdGroup if CPA performance is abnormally high within Campaign
#
#
# Author: Michael S. Huang
# Date: 2023-02-22
RPT_COL_GROUP = 'Group'
RPT_COL_DATE = 'Date'
RPT_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN_ID = 'Campaign ID'
RPT_COL_GROUP_ID = 'Group ID'
RPT_COL_PUB_COST = 'Pub. Cost $'
RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV = 'Cost/Conv. $'
RPT_COL_ROAS = 'ROAS'
RPT_COL_CONV_RATE = 'Conv. Rate %'
RPT_COL_AVG_CPC = 'Avg. CPC $'
RPT_COL_CLICKS = 'Clicks'
RPT_COL_CONV = 'Conv.'
RPT_COL_REVENUE = 'Revenue $'
RPT_COL_IMPR = 'Impr.'
BULK_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
BULK_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER = 'AUTOMATION - Outlier'
outputDf[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = numpy.nan
################## Configurable Param ##################
# IQR 1.5 = looks for rare events having less than 3% of occuring; lower includes more events
ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD = 1.5
LOOKBACK_DAYS = 30
CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS = 1
########################################################
## Data Prep
print(inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].min(), inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].max())
# 30-day lookback without most recent CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS days due to conversion lag
start_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS+LOOKBACK_DAYS))
end_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS))
df_reduced = inputDf[ (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] >= start_date) & (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] <= end_date) ]
if (df_reduced.shape[0] > 0):
print("reduced dates\\n", min(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]), max(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]))
else:
print("no more input to process")
# reduce to needed columns
df_reduced = df_reduced[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_DATE, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]].copy()
# specify the columns to sum
cols_to_sum = [RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]
# apply sum operation only to the specified columns
df_group_perf = df_reduced.groupby([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP])[cols_to_sum].sum()
# remove rows without cost or conversions
df_group_perf = df_group_perf[(df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] > 0) & (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > 0)]
# index by campaign
df_group_perf = df_group_perf.reset_index().set_index([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN]).sort_index()
# calculate features
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV])
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_ROAS] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_REVENUE] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV_RATE] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_AVG_CPC] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS])
## Define Anomaly Fuctions
# Finds anomalies using a certain function (e.g. sigma rule, iqr etc.)
# data: DataFrame
# Dataset with features
# func: func
# Function to use to find anomalies
# features: list
# Feature list
# thresh: int
# Threshold value (e.g. 2/3 * sigma, 2/3 * iqr)
# Returns: tuple
def get_feature_anomalies(data, func, features=None, thresh=1.5):
if features:
features_to_check = features
else:
features_to_check = data.columns
outliers_over = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')
outliers_under = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')
anomalies_summary = {}
for feature in features_to_check:
anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound = func(data, feature, thresh=thresh)
anomalies_mask_combined = pd.concat([anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under], axis=1).any(axis=1)
anomalies_summary[feature] = [upper_bound, lower_bound, sum(anomalies_mask_combined), 100*sum(anomalies_mask_combined)/len(anomalies_mask_combined)]
outliers_over[anomalies_mask_over[anomalies_mask_over].index] = True
outliers_under[anomalies_mask_under[anomalies_mask_under].index] = True
# print("anomalies_mask_combined: ", anomalies_mask_combined)
# print("Outliers: ", outliers)
anomalies_summary = pd.DataFrame(anomalies_summary).T
anomalies_summary.columns=['upper_bound', 'lower_bound', 'anomalies_count', 'anomalies_percentage']
anomalies_ration = round(anomalies_summary['anomalies_percentage'].sum(), 2)
# print(f'Total Outliers Ration: {anomalies_ration} %')
return anomalies_summary, outliers_over, outliers_under
# Finds outliers/anomalies using iqr
# data: DataFrame
# col: str
# thresh: int
# Number of IQR to apply
# Returns: Series
# Boolean Series Mask of outliers
def is_anomaly_iqr(data, col, thresh):
IQR = data[col].quantile(0.75) - data[col].quantile(0.25)
upper_bound = data[col].quantile(0.75) + (thresh * IQR)
lower_bound = data[col].quantile(0.25) - (thresh * IQR)
# print("IQR calc: ", col, IQR, upper_bound, lower_bound)
# anomalies_mask = pd.concat([data[col] > upper_bound, data[col] < lower_bound], axis=1).any(axis=1)
anomalies_mask_over = data[col] > upper_bound
anomalies_mask_under = data[col] < lower_bound
# print("Anomalies mask: ", (anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under))
return anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound
def find_peer_anomaly(df_slice, features, iqr_threshold=1.5, outliers_desired=(True, True)):
(want_outliers_over, want_outliers_under) = outliers_desired
if (df_slice.shape[0] < 3):
return
idx = df_slice.index.unique()
df_slice.reset_index(inplace=True)
anomalies_summary_iqr, outlier_over_iqr, outlier_under_iqr = get_feature_anomalies( \
df_slice, \
func=is_anomaly_iqr, \
features=features, \
thresh=iqr_threshold)
median_cost = df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST].median()
# print(f"over: {outlier_over_iqr}")
# print("under: {outlier_under_iqr}")
# include over/under outliers as desired
is_outlier_iqr = np.logical_or(
np.logical_and(want_outliers_over, outlier_over_iqr),
np.logical_and(want_outliers_under, outlier_under_iqr)
)
# print("is_outlier\\n", is_outlier_iqr)
# ignore anomaly from low spend adgroups (greater than campaign median)
is_outlier_iqr = np.logical_and(is_outlier_iqr, df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > median_cost)
if sum(is_outlier_iqr) > 0:
print(">>> ANOMALY", idx)
print(anomalies_summary_iqr)
cols = [RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE] + features
print(df_slice.loc[is_outlier_iqr, cols])
return is_outlier_iqr
## Find CPA Anomalies
print("df_group_perf shape:", df_group_perf.shape)
print("df_group_perf", tableize(df_group_perf.head()))
df_anomalies = pd.DataFrame()
# annotate via Marin Dimensions
def rowFunc(row):
return 'CPA ${:,.2f} is much higher than campaign avg ${:,.2f}'.format(
row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], \
row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median']
)
for campaign_idx in df_group_perf.index.unique():
df_campaign = df_group_perf.loc[[campaign_idx]].copy()
df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median'] = df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV].mean()
df_campaign[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = np.nan
outliers = find_peer_anomaly(df_campaign, [RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], iqr_threshold=ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD, outliers_desired=(True,False))
if outliers is not None and sum(outliers) > 0:
df_outliers = df_campaign.loc[outliers].copy()
df_outliers[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = df_outliers.apply(rowFunc, axis=1)
print(df_outliers)
df_anomalies = pd.concat([df_anomalies, df_outliers], axis=0)
## Prepare Output
if df_anomalies.empty:
outputDf = pd.DataFrame(columns=[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER])
print("No anomalies found")
else:
print("anomaly examples", tableize(df_anomalies.head()))
outputDf = df_anomalies[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER]]
print("output size", outputDf.shape)
print("output examples", tableize(outputDf.head()))
Post generated on 2024-05-15 07:44:05 GMT