Script 711: Ad Group CPA Performance Outlier

Purpose

Ad Group CPA Performance Outlier

To Elaborate

The Python script identifies ad groups with abnormally high cost-per-acquisition (CPA) performance within a campaign.

Walking Through the Code

  1. The script defines column constants and creates an empty column for automation outlier tagging.
  2. The input data is prepared by filtering it based on a 30-day lookback period, excluding the most recent 3 days.
  3. Unnecessary columns are removed from the reduced dataset.
  4. The script aggregates metrics across dates for numerical columns.
  5. Rows without cost or conversions are removed.
  6. The dataset is indexed by account and campaign.
  7. Additional features are calculated based on the aggregated data.
  8. Anomaly functions are defined to find outliers using different methods.
  9. The script finds CPA anomalies by calling the find_peer_anomaly function for each campaign.
  10. Anomalies are annotated using Marin Dimensions.
  11. The script prepares the output by selecting relevant columns from the anomalies dataframe.
  12. The output dataframe is printed.

Vitals

  • Script ID : 711
  • Client ID / Customer ID: 636182884 / 68766
  • Action Type: Bulk Upload (Preview)
  • Item Changed: AdGroup
  • Output Columns: Account, Campaign, Group, AUTOMATION - Outlier
  • Linked Datasource: M1 Report
  • Reference Datasource: None
  • Owner: dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com (dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com)
  • Created by dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com on 2024-02-22 17:39
  • Last Updated by dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com on 2024-03-20 21:26
> See it in Action

Python Code

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##
## name: Ad Group CPA Performance Outlier
## description: Tag AdGroup if CPA performance is abnormally high within Campaign
##  
## 
## author: Dana Waidhas 
## created: 2024-02-22
## 

RPT_COL_DATE = 'Date'
RPT_COL_GROUP = 'Group'
RPT_COL_PUBLISHER = 'Publisher'
RPT_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
RPT_COL_GROUP_ID = 'Group ID'
RPT_COL_PUB_COST = 'Pub. Cost $'
RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV = 'Cost/Conv. $'
RPT_COL_ROAS = 'ROAS'
RPT_COL_CONV_RATE = 'Conv. Rate %'
RPT_COL_AVG_CPC = 'Avg. CPC $'
RPT_COL_IMPR = 'Impr.'
RPT_COL_CLICKS = 'Clicks'
RPT_COL_CONV = 'Conv.'
RPT_COL_REVENUE = 'Revenue $'

BULK_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
BULK_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
BULK_COL_GROUP = 'Group'
BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER = 'AUTOMATION - Outlier'

outputDf[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = numpy.nan

## Data Prep

print(inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].min(), inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].max())

# 30-day lookback without most recent 3 days due to conversion lag
start_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=33))
end_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=3))

df_reduced = inputDf[ (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] >= start_date) & (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] <= end_date) ]

if (df_reduced.shape[0] > 0):
    print("reduced dates\\n", min(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]), max(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]))
else:
    print("no more input to process")

# reduce to needed columns
df_reduced = df_reduced[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_DATE, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]].copy()

# sum metrics across dates for numerical columns only
agg_columns = {RPT_COL_PUB_COST: 'sum', RPT_COL_CONV: 'sum', RPT_COL_REVENUE: 'sum', RPT_COL_CLICKS: 'sum'}
df_group_perf = df_reduced.groupby([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP]).agg(agg_columns)

# remove rows without cost or conversions
df_group_perf = df_group_perf[(df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] > 0) & (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > 0)]

# index by campaign
df_group_perf = df_group_perf.reset_index().set_index([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN]).sort_index()

# calculate features
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV])
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_ROAS] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_REVENUE] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV_RATE] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_AVG_CPC] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS])

## Define Anomaly Fuctions

# Finds anomalies using a certain function (e.g. sigma rule, IRQ etc.)
# data: DataFrame
#     Dataset with features
# func: func
#     Function to use to find anomalies
# features: list
#     Feature list
# thresh: int
#     Threshold value (e.g. 2/3 * sigma, 2/3 * IRQ)
# Returns: tuple
def get_feature_anomalies(data, func, features=None, thresh=3):

    if features:
        features_to_check = features
    else:
        features_to_check = data.columns 
        
    outliers_over = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')
    outliers_under = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')

    anomalies_summary = {}
    for feature in features_to_check:
        anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound = func(data, feature, thresh=thresh)
        anomalies_mask_combined = pd.concat([anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under], axis=1).any(axis=1)
        anomalies_summary[feature] = [upper_bound, lower_bound, sum(anomalies_mask_combined), 100*sum(anomalies_mask_combined)/len(anomalies_mask_combined)]
        outliers_over[anomalies_mask_over[anomalies_mask_over].index] = True
        outliers_under[anomalies_mask_under[anomalies_mask_under].index] = True
        
#         print("anomalies_mask_combined: ", anomalies_mask_combined)
#         print("Outliers: ", outliers)
        
    anomalies_summary = pd.DataFrame(anomalies_summary).T
    anomalies_summary.columns=['upper_bound', 'lower_bound', 'anomalies_count', 'anomalies_percentage']
    
    anomalies_ration = round(anomalies_summary['anomalies_percentage'].sum(), 2)
#     print(f'Total Outliers Ration: {anomalies_ration} %')
    
    return anomalies_summary, outliers_over, outliers_under

# Finds outliers/anomalies using IRQ 
# data: DataFrame
# col: str
# thresh: int
#     Number of IRQ to apply 
# Returns: Series 
#     Boolean Series Mask of outliers 
def is_anomaly_irq(data, col, thresh):

    IRQ = data[col].quantile(0.66) - data[col].quantile(0.33)
    upper_bound = data[col].quantile(0.66) + (thresh * IRQ)
    lower_bound = data[col].quantile(0.33) - (thresh * IRQ)
#     print("IRQ calc: ", col, IRQ, upper_bound, lower_bound)
#     anomalies_mask = pd.concat([data[col] > upper_bound, data[col] < lower_bound], axis=1).any(1)
    anomalies_mask_over = data[col] > upper_bound
    anomalies_mask_under = data[col] < lower_bound
#     print("Anomalies mask: ", (anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under))
    
    return anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound

def find_peer_anomaly(df_slice, features, irq_threshold=1.8, outliers_desired=(True, True)):
    
    (want_outliers_over, want_outliers_under) = outliers_desired
   
    if (df_slice.shape[0] < 3):
        return
    
    idx = df_slice.index.unique()
    
    df_slice.reset_index(inplace=True)
    
    anomalies_summary_irq, outlier_over_irq, outlier_under_irq = get_feature_anomalies( \
                df_slice, \
                func=is_anomaly_irq, \
                features=features, \
                thresh=irq_threshold)
    
    median_cost = df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST].median()
    
#     print(f"over: {outlier_over_irq}")
#     print("under: {outlier_under_irq}")
    
    # include over/under outliers as desired
    is_outlier_irq = np.logical_or(
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_over, outlier_over_irq),
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_under, outlier_under_irq)
    )
    
#     print("is_outlier\\n", is_outlier_irq)
    
    # ignore anomaly from low spend adgroups (greater than campaign median)
    is_outlier_irq = np.logical_and(is_outlier_irq, df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > median_cost)
    
    if sum(is_outlier_irq) > 0:
        print(">>> ANOMALY", idx)
        print(anomalies_summary_irq)
        cols = [RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE] + features
        print(df_slice.loc[is_outlier_irq, cols])
        
    return is_outlier_irq

## Find CPA Anomalies

print("input shape:", df_group_perf.shape)
df_anomalies = pd.DataFrame(columns=[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER])

# annotate via Marin Dimensions
def rowFunc(row):
    return 'CPA ${:,.2f} is much higher than campaign avg ${:,.2f}'.format(
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], \
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median']
    )

for campaign_idx in df_group_perf.index.unique():
    df_campaign = df_group_perf.loc[[campaign_idx]].copy()
    df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median'] = df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV].mean()
    df_campaign[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = np.nan
    outliers = find_peer_anomaly(df_campaign, [RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], irq_threshold=2, outliers_desired=(True,False))

    if outliers is not None and sum(outliers) > 0:
        df_outliers = df_campaign.loc[outliers].copy()
        df_outliers[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = df_outliers.apply(rowFunc, axis=1)
        print(df_outliers)
        df_anomalies = pd.concat([df_anomalies, df_outliers], axis=0)

## Prepare Output

print(tableize(df_anomalies))

outputDf = df_anomalies[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER]]


Post generated on 2024-05-15 07:44:05 GMT

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