Script 513: AdGroup Cost Conv $ Outlier Tagging

Purpose

The Python script identifies and tags AdGroups with abnormally low Cost/Conversion performance within a campaign over a specified lookback period.

To Elaborate

The script is designed to detect and tag AdGroups within advertising campaigns that exhibit unusually low Cost/Conversion performance. It analyzes data over a 30-day period, excluding the most recent three days to account for conversion delays. The script aggregates performance metrics such as public cost, conversions, revenue, and clicks for each AdGroup within a campaign. It then calculates key performance indicators like Cost/Conversion, ROAS, conversion rate, and average CPC. Anomalies are identified using the Interquartile Range (IQR) method, focusing on Cost/Conversion metrics. The script flags AdGroups as outliers if their Cost/Conversion is significantly lower than the campaign average, provided they have a higher spend than the campaign median. This helps in identifying underperforming AdGroups that may require attention or adjustment.

Walking Through the Code

  1. Data Preparation
    • The script first filters the input data to include only records from the past 30 days, excluding the most recent three days.
    • It reduces the dataset to essential columns and aggregates metrics like public cost, conversions, revenue, and clicks by AdGroup within each campaign.
  2. Feature Calculation
    • It calculates performance indicators such as Cost/Conversion, ROAS, conversion rate, and average CPC for each AdGroup.
  3. Anomaly Detection Functions
    • The script defines functions to detect anomalies using the IQR method. It identifies outliers by comparing each AdGroup’s performance against calculated thresholds.
  4. Anomaly Identification
    • For each campaign, the script checks if any AdGroup’s Cost/Conversion is significantly lower than the campaign average, considering only those with higher spend than the median.
    • It tags these AdGroups as anomalies and prepares a summary of the findings.
  5. Output Preparation
    • If anomalies are found, the script compiles the results into a DataFrame for further analysis or reporting. If no anomalies are detected, it outputs an empty DataFrame.

Vitals

  • Script ID : 513
  • Client ID / Customer ID: 367770165 / 16077
  • Action Type: Bulk Upload
  • Item Changed: AdGroup
  • Output Columns: Account, Campaign, Group, AUTOMATION - INFO
  • Linked Datasource: M1 Report
  • Reference Datasource: None
  • Owner: Jesus Garza (jgarza@marinsoftware.com)
  • Created by Jesus Garza on 2023-11-07 22:15
  • Last Updated by Autumn Archibald on 2023-12-08 17:37
> See it in Action

Python Code

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
#
# Tag AdGroup if ROAS performance is abnormally low within Campaign
#
#
# Author: Michael S. Huang
# Date: 2023-03-24

RPT_COL_GROUP = 'Group'
RPT_COL_DATE = 'Date'
RPT_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN_ID = 'Campaign ID'
RPT_COL_GROUP_ID = 'Group ID'
RPT_COL_PUB_COST = 'Pub. Cost $'
RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV = 'Cost/Conv. $'
RPT_COL_ROAS = 'ROAS'
RPT_COL_CONV_RATE = 'Conv. Rate %'
RPT_COL_AVG_CPC = 'Avg. CPC $'
RPT_COL_CLICKS = 'Clicks'
RPT_COL_CONV = 'Conv.'
RPT_COL_REVENUE = 'Revenue $'
RPT_COL_IMPR = 'Impr.'
BULK_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
BULK_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_INFO = 'AUTOMATION - INFO'

outputDf[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_INFO] = numpy.nan

## Data Prep

print(inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].min(), inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].max())

# 30-day lookback without most recent 3 days due to conversion lag
start_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=33))
end_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=3))

df_reduced = inputDf[ (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] >= start_date) & (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] <= end_date) ]

if (df_reduced.shape[0] > 0):
    print("reduced dates\\n", min(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]), max(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]))
else:
    print("no more input to process")

# reduce to needed columns
df_reduced = df_reduced[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_DATE, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]].copy()

# sum metics across dates
df_group_perf = df_reduced.groupby([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP])[[RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]].sum()
# remove rows without cost 
df_group_perf = df_group_perf[(df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > 0)]

# index by campaign
df_group_perf = df_group_perf.reset_index().set_index([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN]).sort_index()

# calculate features
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV])
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_ROAS] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_REVENUE] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV_RATE] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_AVG_CPC] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS])


## Define Anomaly Fuctions

# Finds anomalies using a certain function (e.g. sigma rule, IRQ etc.)
# data: DataFrame
#     Dataset with features
# func: func
#     Function to use to find anomalies
# features: list
#     Feature list
# thresh: int
#     Threshold value (e.g. 2/3 * sigma, 2/3 * IRQ)
# Returns: tuple
def get_feature_anomalies(data, func, features=None, thresh=3):

    if features:
        features_to_check = features
    else:
        features_to_check = data.columns 
        
    outliers_over = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')
    outliers_under = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')

    anomalies_summary = {}
    for feature in features_to_check:
        anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound = func(data, feature, thresh=thresh)
        anomalies_mask_combined = pd.concat([anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under], axis=1).any(axis=1)
        anomalies_summary[feature] = [upper_bound, lower_bound, sum(anomalies_mask_combined), 100*sum(anomalies_mask_combined)/len(anomalies_mask_combined)]
        outliers_over[anomalies_mask_over[anomalies_mask_over].index] = True
        outliers_under[anomalies_mask_under[anomalies_mask_under].index] = True
        
        
    anomalies_summary = pd.DataFrame(anomalies_summary).T
    anomalies_summary.columns=['upper_bound', 'lower_bound', 'anomalies_count', 'anomalies_percentage']
    
    anomalies_ration = round(anomalies_summary['anomalies_percentage'].sum(), 2)
    
    return anomalies_summary, outliers_over, outliers_under

# Finds outliers/anomalies using IRQ 
# data: DataFrame
# col: str
# thresh: int
#     Number of IRQ to apply 
# Returns: Series 
#     Boolean Series Mask of outliers 
def is_anomaly_irq(data, col, thresh):

    IRQ = data[col].quantile(0.75) - data[col].quantile(0.25)
    upper_bound = data[col].quantile(0.75) + (thresh * IRQ)
    lower_bound = data[col].quantile(0.25) - (thresh * IRQ)
    anomalies_mask_over = data[col] > upper_bound
    anomalies_mask_under = data[col] < lower_bound
#     print("Anomalies mask: ", (anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under))
    
    return anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound

def find_peer_anomaly(df_slice, features, irq_threshold=1.8, outliers_desired=(True, True)):
    
    (want_outliers_over, want_outliers_under) = outliers_desired
   
    if (df_slice.shape[0] < 3):
        return
    
    idx = df_slice.index.unique()
    
    df_slice.reset_index(inplace=True)
    
    anomalies_summary_irq, outlier_over_irq, outlier_under_irq = get_feature_anomalies( \
                df_slice, \
                func=is_anomaly_irq, \
                features=features, \
                thresh=irq_threshold)
    
    median_cost = df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST].median()
    
    
    # include over/under outliers as desired
    is_outlier_irq = np.logical_or(
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_over, outlier_over_irq),
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_under, outlier_under_irq)
    )
    
    



    # ignore anomaly from low spend adgroups (greater than campaign median)
    is_outlier_irq = np.logical_and(is_outlier_irq, df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > median_cost)
    
    if sum(is_outlier_irq) > 0:
        print(">>> ANOMALY", idx)
        print(anomalies_summary_irq)
        cols = [RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE] + features
        print(df_slice.loc[is_outlier_irq, cols])
        
    return is_outlier_irq

## Find ROAS Anomalies

print("input shape:", df_group_perf.shape)
df_anomalies = pd.DataFrame()

# annotate via Marin Dimensions
def rowFunc(row):
    return 'ROAS {:,.2f} is much lower than campaign avg {:,.2f}'.format(
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], \
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median']
    )

# dump data used for anomaly detection
print("df_group_perf\n\n", df_group_perf.to_string())





for campaign_idx in df_group_perf.index.unique():
    df_campaign = df_group_perf.loc[[campaign_idx]].copy()
    df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median'] = df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV].mean()
    df_campaign[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_INFO] = np.nan
    outliers = find_peer_anomaly(df_campaign, [RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], irq_threshold=0.8, outliers_desired=(False,True))

    if outliers is not None and sum(outliers) > 0:
        df_outliers = df_campaign.loc[outliers].copy()
        df_outliers[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_INFO] = df_outliers.apply(rowFunc, axis=1)
        print(df_outliers)
        df_anomalies = pd.concat([df_anomalies, df_outliers], axis=0)

## Prepare Output
if not df_anomalies.empty:
    print(tableize(df_anomalies))
    outputDf = df_anomalies[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_INFO]]
else:
    print("No anomalies found!")
    outputDf = outputDf.iloc[0:0]

Post generated on 2024-11-27 06:58:46 GMT

comments powered by Disqus