Script 1145: AdGroup CPA Outlier

Purpose

The script identifies and tags AdGroups with abnormally high Cost Per Acquisition (CPA) performance within a campaign over a 30-day lookback period, excluding the most recent day.

To Elaborate

The Python script is designed to detect and tag AdGroups within advertising campaigns that exhibit unusually high Cost Per Acquisition (CPA) performance. It analyzes data over a 30-day period, excluding the most recent day to account for conversion lag. The script uses statistical methods to identify outliers in CPA performance, specifically employing the Interquartile Range (IQR) method to determine anomalies. By comparing each AdGroup’s CPA against the campaign’s average, the script flags those with significantly higher CPA values. This helps in identifying potential inefficiencies or issues in the advertising strategy, allowing for targeted adjustments to improve overall campaign performance.

Walking Through the Code

  1. Configurable Parameters
    • The script begins by defining user-changeable parameters such as ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD, LOOKBACK_DAYS, and CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS. These parameters control the sensitivity of anomaly detection and the period of data analysis.
  2. Data Preparation
    • The script filters the input data to include only the relevant 30-day period, excluding the most recent day. It then reduces the dataset to essential columns and aggregates performance metrics like cost, conversions, revenue, and clicks by AdGroup within each campaign.
  3. Anomaly Detection Functions
    • Functions are defined to identify anomalies using the IQR method. The get_feature_anomalies function calculates upper and lower bounds for each feature and identifies outliers. The is_anomaly_iqr function specifically applies the IQR method to detect anomalies in CPA performance.
  4. Identifying CPA Anomalies
    • The script iterates over each campaign, calculating the median CPA and identifying AdGroups with CPA significantly higher than the campaign average. It uses the find_peer_anomaly function to determine if an AdGroup’s CPA is an outlier.
  5. Output Preparation
    • If anomalies are found, the script compiles them into a DataFrame, tagging each outlier with a descriptive message. If no anomalies are detected, it prepares an empty output DataFrame.

Vitals

  • Script ID : 1145
  • Client ID / Customer ID: 1306926629 / 60270083
  • Action Type: Bulk Upload
  • Item Changed: AdGroup
  • Output Columns: Account, Campaign, Group, AUTOMATION - Outlier
  • Linked Datasource: M1 Report
  • Reference Datasource: None
  • Owner: dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com (dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com)
  • Created by dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com on 2024-05-23 18:23
  • Last Updated by dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com on 2024-05-23 20:00
> See it in Action

Python Code

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#
# Tag AdGroup if CPA performance is abnormally high within Campaign
#
#
# Author: Dana Waidhas 
# Date: 2024-05-22

RPT_COL_GROUP = 'Group'
RPT_COL_DATE = 'Date'
RPT_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN_ID = 'Campaign ID'
RPT_COL_GROUP_ID = 'Group ID'
RPT_COL_PUB_COST = 'Pub. Cost $'
RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV = 'Cost/Conv. $'
RPT_COL_ROAS = 'ROAS'
RPT_COL_CONV_RATE = 'Conv. Rate %'
RPT_COL_AVG_CPC = 'Avg. CPC $'
RPT_COL_CLICKS = 'Clicks'
RPT_COL_CONV = 'Conv.'
RPT_COL_REVENUE = 'Revenue $'
RPT_COL_IMPR = 'Impr.'
BULK_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
BULK_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER = 'AUTOMATION - Outlier'

outputDf[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = numpy.nan

################## Configurable Param ##################

# IQR 1.5 = looks for rare events having less than 3% of occuring; lower includes more events
ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD = 0.9
LOOKBACK_DAYS = 30
CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS = 1

########################################################



## Data Prep

print(inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].min(), inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].max())

# 30-day lookback without most recent CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS days due to conversion lag
start_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS+LOOKBACK_DAYS))
end_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS))

df_reduced = inputDf[ (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] >= start_date) & (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] <= end_date) ]

if (df_reduced.shape[0] > 0):
    print("reduced dates\\n", min(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]), max(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]))
else:
    print("no more input to process")

# reduce to needed columns
df_reduced = df_reduced[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_DATE, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]].copy()

# specify the columns to sum
cols_to_sum = [RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]

# apply sum operation only to the specified columns
df_group_perf = df_reduced.groupby([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP])[cols_to_sum].sum()


# remove rows without cost or conversions
df_group_perf = df_group_perf[(df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] > 0) & (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > 0)]

# index by campaign
df_group_perf = df_group_perf.reset_index().set_index([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN]).sort_index()

# calculate features
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV])
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_ROAS] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_REVENUE] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV_RATE] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_AVG_CPC] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS])

## Define Anomaly Fuctions

# Finds anomalies using a certain function (e.g. sigma rule, iqr etc.)
# data: DataFrame
#     Dataset with features
# func: func
#     Function to use to find anomalies
# features: list
#     Feature list
# thresh: int
#     Threshold value (e.g. 2/3 * sigma, 2/3 * iqr)
# Returns: tuple
def get_feature_anomalies(data, func, features=None, thresh=1.5):

    if features:
        features_to_check = features
    else:
        features_to_check = data.columns 
        
    outliers_over = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')
    outliers_under = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')

    anomalies_summary = {}
    for feature in features_to_check:
        anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound = func(data, feature, thresh=thresh)
        anomalies_mask_combined = pd.concat([anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under], axis=1).any(axis=1)
        anomalies_summary[feature] = [upper_bound, lower_bound, sum(anomalies_mask_combined), 100*sum(anomalies_mask_combined)/len(anomalies_mask_combined)]
        outliers_over[anomalies_mask_over[anomalies_mask_over].index] = True
        outliers_under[anomalies_mask_under[anomalies_mask_under].index] = True
        
#         print("anomalies_mask_combined: ", anomalies_mask_combined)
#         print("Outliers: ", outliers)
        
    anomalies_summary = pd.DataFrame(anomalies_summary).T
    anomalies_summary.columns=['upper_bound', 'lower_bound', 'anomalies_count', 'anomalies_percentage']
    
    anomalies_ration = round(anomalies_summary['anomalies_percentage'].sum(), 2)
#     print(f'Total Outliers Ration: {anomalies_ration} %')
    
    return anomalies_summary, outliers_over, outliers_under

# Finds outliers/anomalies using iqr 
# data: DataFrame
# col: str
# thresh: int
#     Number of IQR to apply 
# Returns: Series 
#     Boolean Series Mask of outliers 
def is_anomaly_iqr(data, col, thresh):

    IQR = data[col].quantile(0.75) - data[col].quantile(0.25)
    upper_bound = data[col].quantile(0.75) + (thresh * IQR)
    lower_bound = data[col].quantile(0.25) - (thresh * IQR)
#     print("IQR calc: ", col, IQR, upper_bound, lower_bound)
#     anomalies_mask = pd.concat([data[col] > upper_bound, data[col] < lower_bound], axis=1).any(axis=1)
    anomalies_mask_over = data[col] > upper_bound
    anomalies_mask_under = data[col] < lower_bound
#     print("Anomalies mask: ", (anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under))
    
    return anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound

def find_peer_anomaly(df_slice, features, iqr_threshold=1.5, outliers_desired=(True, True)):
    
    (want_outliers_over, want_outliers_under) = outliers_desired
   
    if (df_slice.shape[0] < 3):
        return
    
    idx = df_slice.index.unique()
    
    df_slice.reset_index(inplace=True)
    
    anomalies_summary_iqr, outlier_over_iqr, outlier_under_iqr = get_feature_anomalies( \
                df_slice, \
                func=is_anomaly_iqr, \
                features=features, \
                thresh=iqr_threshold)
    
    median_cost = df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST].median()
    
#     print(f"over: {outlier_over_iqr}")
#     print("under: {outlier_under_iqr}")
    
    # include over/under outliers as desired
    is_outlier_iqr = np.logical_or(
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_over, outlier_over_iqr),
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_under, outlier_under_iqr)
    )
    
#     print("is_outlier\\n", is_outlier_iqr)
    
    # ignore anomaly from low spend adgroups (greater than campaign median)
    is_outlier_iqr = np.logical_and(is_outlier_iqr, df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > median_cost)
    
    if sum(is_outlier_iqr) > 0:
        print(">>> ANOMALY", idx)
        print(anomalies_summary_iqr)
        cols = [RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE] + features
        print(df_slice.loc[is_outlier_iqr, cols])
        
    return is_outlier_iqr

## Find CPA Anomalies

print("df_group_perf shape:", df_group_perf.shape)
print("df_group_perf", tableize(df_group_perf.head()))
df_anomalies = pd.DataFrame()

# annotate via Marin Dimensions
def rowFunc(row):
    return 'CPA ${:,.2f} is much higher than campaign avg ${:,.2f}'.format(
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], \
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median']
    )

for campaign_idx in df_group_perf.index.unique():
    df_campaign = df_group_perf.loc[[campaign_idx]].copy()
    df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median'] = df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV].mean()

    df_campaign[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = np.nan
    outliers = find_peer_anomaly(df_campaign, [RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], iqr_threshold=ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD, outliers_desired=(True,False))

    if outliers is not None and sum(outliers) > 0:
        df_outliers = df_campaign.loc[outliers].copy()
        df_outliers[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = df_outliers.apply(rowFunc, axis=1)
        print(df_outliers)
        df_anomalies = pd.concat([df_anomalies, df_outliers], axis=0)

## Prepare Output

if df_anomalies.empty:
    outputDf = pd.DataFrame(columns=[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER])
    print("No anomalies found")
else:
    print("anomaly examples", tableize(df_anomalies.head()))
    outputDf = df_anomalies[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER]]
    print("output size", outputDf.shape)
    print("output examples", tableize(outputDf.head()))


Post generated on 2024-11-27 06:58:46 GMT

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