Script 1077: AdGroup CPA Outlier

Purpose

The script identifies and tags AdGroups with abnormally high Cost Per Acquisition (CPA) performance within a campaign over a 30-day lookback period, excluding the most recent 3 days.

To Elaborate

The Python script is designed to detect and tag AdGroups within advertising campaigns that exhibit unusually high Cost Per Acquisition (CPA) performance. It does this by analyzing data over a 30-day period, excluding the most recent 3 days to account for conversion lag. The script calculates various performance metrics such as CPA, Return on Ad Spend (ROAS), conversion rate, and average cost per click (CPC) for each AdGroup. It then uses the Interquartile Range (IQR) method to identify outliers in CPA performance, marking those that significantly deviate from the campaign average. The script aims to help advertisers quickly identify and address underperforming AdGroups, thereby optimizing their advertising spend and improving overall campaign efficiency.

Walking Through the Code

  1. Configurable Parameters
    • The script begins by defining user-changeable parameters such as ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD, LOOKBACK_DAYS, and CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS. These parameters control the sensitivity of anomaly detection and the time frame for data analysis.
  2. Data Preparation
    • The script filters the input data to include only the relevant 30-day period, excluding the most recent days specified by CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS.
    • It reduces the dataset to essential columns and aggregates performance metrics like publication cost, conversions, revenue, and clicks by AdGroup.
  3. Feature Calculation
    • It calculates key performance indicators such as CPA, ROAS, conversion rate, and average CPC for each AdGroup.
  4. Anomaly Detection Functions
    • The script defines functions to detect anomalies using the IQR method. It identifies outliers by calculating upper and lower bounds for CPA and other metrics.
  5. Anomaly Identification
    • For each campaign, the script checks if any AdGroup’s CPA is an outlier compared to the campaign average. It tags these outliers and prepares a summary of anomalies.
  6. Output Preparation
    • Finally, the script compiles the identified anomalies into an output DataFrame, ready for further analysis or reporting. If no anomalies are found, it outputs an empty DataFrame with the relevant columns.

Vitals

  • Script ID : 1077
  • Client ID / Customer ID: 1306927029 / 60270153
  • Action Type: Bulk Upload
  • Item Changed: AdGroup
  • Output Columns: Account, Campaign, Group, AUTOMATION - Outlier
  • Linked Datasource: M1 Report
  • Reference Datasource: None
  • Owner: dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com (dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com)
  • Created by dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com on 2024-05-13 19:31
  • Last Updated by dwaidhas@marinsoftware.com on 2024-05-24 15:57
> See it in Action

Python Code

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##
#
# Tag AdGroup if CPA performance is abnormally high within Campaign
#
## 
## author: Dana Waidhas 
## created: 2024-05-08
## 
#

RPT_COL_GROUP = 'Group'
RPT_COL_DATE = 'Date'
RPT_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN_ID = 'Campaign ID'
RPT_COL_GROUP_ID = 'Group ID'
RPT_COL_PUB_COST = 'Pub. Cost $'
RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV = 'Cost/Conv. $'
RPT_COL_ROAS = 'ROAS'
RPT_COL_CONV_RATE = 'Conv. Rate %'
RPT_COL_AVG_CPC = 'Avg. CPC $'
RPT_COL_CLICKS = 'Clicks'
RPT_COL_CONV = 'Conv.'
RPT_COL_REVENUE = 'Revenue $'
RPT_COL_IMPR = 'Impr.'
BULK_COL_ACCOUNT = 'Account'
BULK_COL_CAMPAIGN = 'Campaign'
BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER = 'AUTOMATION - Outlier'

outputDf[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = numpy.nan

################## Configurable Param ##################

# IQR 1.5 = looks for rare events having less than 3% of occuring; lower includes more events
ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD = 1.5
LOOKBACK_DAYS = 30
CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS = 1

########################################################



## Data Prep

print(inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].min(), inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE].max())

# 30-day lookback without most recent CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS days due to conversion lag
start_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS+LOOKBACK_DAYS))
end_date = pd.to_datetime(datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=CONVERSION_LAG_DAYS))

df_reduced = inputDf[ (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] >= start_date) & (inputDf[RPT_COL_DATE] <= end_date) ]

if (df_reduced.shape[0] > 0):
    print("reduced dates\\n", min(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]), max(df_reduced[RPT_COL_DATE]))
else:
    print("no more input to process")

# reduce to needed columns
df_reduced = df_reduced[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_DATE, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]].copy()

# specify the columns to sum
cols_to_sum = [RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE, RPT_COL_CLICKS]

# apply sum operation only to the specified columns
df_group_perf = df_reduced.groupby([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP])[cols_to_sum].sum()


# remove rows without cost or conversions
df_group_perf = df_group_perf[(df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] > 0) & (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > 0)]

# index by campaign
df_group_perf = df_group_perf.reset_index().set_index([RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN]).sort_index()

# calculate features
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV])
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_ROAS] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_REVENUE] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV_RATE] = df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CONV] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS]
df_group_perf[RPT_COL_AVG_CPC] = (df_group_perf[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] / df_group_perf[RPT_COL_CLICKS])

## Define Anomaly Fuctions

# Finds anomalies using a certain function (e.g. sigma rule, iqr etc.)
# data: DataFrame
#     Dataset with features
# func: func
#     Function to use to find anomalies
# features: list
#     Feature list
# thresh: int
#     Threshold value (e.g. 2/3 * sigma, 2/3 * iqr)
# Returns: tuple
def get_feature_anomalies(data, func, features=None, thresh=1.5):

    if features:
        features_to_check = features
    else:
        features_to_check = data.columns 
        
    outliers_over = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')
    outliers_under = pd.Series(data=[False] * data.shape[0], index=data[features_to_check].index, name='is_outlier')

    anomalies_summary = {}
    for feature in features_to_check:
        anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound = func(data, feature, thresh=thresh)
        anomalies_mask_combined = pd.concat([anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under], axis=1).any(axis=1)
        anomalies_summary[feature] = [upper_bound, lower_bound, sum(anomalies_mask_combined), 100*sum(anomalies_mask_combined)/len(anomalies_mask_combined)]
        outliers_over[anomalies_mask_over[anomalies_mask_over].index] = True
        outliers_under[anomalies_mask_under[anomalies_mask_under].index] = True
        
#         print("anomalies_mask_combined: ", anomalies_mask_combined)
#         print("Outliers: ", outliers)
        
    anomalies_summary = pd.DataFrame(anomalies_summary).T
    anomalies_summary.columns=['upper_bound', 'lower_bound', 'anomalies_count', 'anomalies_percentage']
    
    anomalies_ration = round(anomalies_summary['anomalies_percentage'].sum(), 2)
#     print(f'Total Outliers Ration: {anomalies_ration} %')
    
    return anomalies_summary, outliers_over, outliers_under

# Finds outliers/anomalies using iqr 
# data: DataFrame
# col: str
# thresh: int
#     Number of IQR to apply 
# Returns: Series 
#     Boolean Series Mask of outliers 
def is_anomaly_iqr(data, col, thresh):

    IQR = data[col].quantile(0.75) - data[col].quantile(0.25)
    upper_bound = data[col].quantile(0.75) + (thresh * IQR)
    lower_bound = data[col].quantile(0.25) - (thresh * IQR)
#     print("IQR calc: ", col, IQR, upper_bound, lower_bound)
#     anomalies_mask = pd.concat([data[col] > upper_bound, data[col] < lower_bound], axis=1).any(axis=1)
    anomalies_mask_over = data[col] > upper_bound
    anomalies_mask_under = data[col] < lower_bound
#     print("Anomalies mask: ", (anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under))
    
    return anomalies_mask_over, anomalies_mask_under, upper_bound, lower_bound

def find_peer_anomaly(df_slice, features, iqr_threshold=1.5, outliers_desired=(True, True)):
    
    (want_outliers_over, want_outliers_under) = outliers_desired
   
    if (df_slice.shape[0] < 3):
        return
    
    idx = df_slice.index.unique()
    
    df_slice.reset_index(inplace=True)
    
    anomalies_summary_iqr, outlier_over_iqr, outlier_under_iqr = get_feature_anomalies( \
                df_slice, \
                func=is_anomaly_iqr, \
                features=features, \
                thresh=iqr_threshold)
    
    median_cost = df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST].median()
    
#     print(f"over: {outlier_over_iqr}")
#     print("under: {outlier_under_iqr}")
    
    # include over/under outliers as desired
    is_outlier_iqr = np.logical_or(
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_over, outlier_over_iqr),
                        np.logical_and(want_outliers_under, outlier_under_iqr)
    )
    
#     print("is_outlier\\n", is_outlier_iqr)
    
    # ignore anomaly from low spend adgroups (greater than campaign median)
    is_outlier_iqr = np.logical_and(is_outlier_iqr, df_slice[RPT_COL_PUB_COST] > median_cost)
    
    if sum(is_outlier_iqr) > 0:
        print(">>> ANOMALY", idx)
        print(anomalies_summary_iqr)
        cols = [RPT_COL_GROUP, RPT_COL_PUB_COST, RPT_COL_CONV, RPT_COL_REVENUE] + features
        print(df_slice.loc[is_outlier_iqr, cols])
        
    return is_outlier_iqr

## Find CPA Anomalies

print("df_group_perf shape:", df_group_perf.shape)
print("df_group_perf", tableize(df_group_perf.head()))
df_anomalies = pd.DataFrame()

# annotate via Marin Dimensions
def rowFunc(row):
    return 'CPA ${:,.2f} is much higher than campaign avg ${:,.2f}'.format(
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], \
        row[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median']
    )

for campaign_idx in df_group_perf.index.unique():
    df_campaign = df_group_perf.loc[[campaign_idx]].copy()
    df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV + '_median'] = df_campaign[RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV].mean()

    df_campaign[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = np.nan
    outliers = find_peer_anomaly(df_campaign, [RPT_COL_COST_PER_CONV], iqr_threshold=ANOMALY_IQR_THRESHOLD, outliers_desired=(True,False))

    if outliers is not None and sum(outliers) > 0:
        df_outliers = df_campaign.loc[outliers].copy()
        df_outliers[BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER] = df_outliers.apply(rowFunc, axis=1)
        print(df_outliers)
        df_anomalies = pd.concat([df_anomalies, df_outliers], axis=0)

## Prepare Output

if df_anomalies.empty:
    outputDf = pd.DataFrame(columns=[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER])
    print("No anomalies found")
else:
    print("anomaly examples", tableize(df_anomalies.head()))
    outputDf = df_anomalies[[RPT_COL_ACCOUNT, RPT_COL_CAMPAIGN, RPT_COL_GROUP, BULK_COL_AUTOMATION_OUTLIER]]
    print("output size", outputDf.shape)
    print("output examples", tableize(outputDf.head()))


Post generated on 2024-11-27 06:58:46 GMT

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